Turkey’s economy has performed remarkably well with its steady growth over the past 16 years. A sound macroeconomic strategy, prudent fiscal policies, and major structural reforms have all contributed to the integration of Turkey’s economy into the globalized world while also transforming the country into one of the major recipients of FDI in its region. These reforms have increased the role of the private sector in Turkey’s economy, enhanced the efficiency and resiliency of the financial sector, and placed public finance on a more solid foundation. The reforms also strengthened the macroeconomic fundamentals of the country, allowing the economy to grow at an average annual real GDP growth rate of 5.5 percent from 2002 to 2018.
Turkey’s impressive economic performance over the past 16 years has encouraged experts and international institutions to make confident projections about Turkey’s economic future. For example, according to the OECD, Turkey is expected to be one of the fastest-growing economies among OECD members during 2019-2029, with an annual average growth rate of 4.5 percent. Together with stable economic growth, Turkey has also reined in its public finances; the EU-defined general government nominal debt stock fell to 30.4 percent from 72.1 percent between 2002 and 2018. Turkey has been meeting the “EU’s 60 percent Maastricht criteria” for public debt stock since 2004. Similarly, during 2003-2018, the budget deficit decreased from more than 10 percent to less than 2 percent as a ratio to GDP, which is one of the EU Maastricht criteria for the budget balance. As the GDP levels increased to USD 784 billion in 2018, up from USD 236 billion in 2002, GDP per capita soared to USD 9,632, up from USD 3,581 in the given period.
The visible improvements in Turkey’s economy have also boosted foreign trade. Exports reached USD 168 billion by the end of 2018, up from USD 36 billion in 2002, while tourism revenues, which were around USD 14 billion in 2003, exceeded USD 29.5 billion in 2018. Significant improvements in such a short period of time have registered Turkey on the world economic scale as an exceptional emerging economy. It is the 13th largest economy (GDP at PPP) in the world and the 7th largest economy when compared with the EU countries, according to GDP figures in 2018.Summary fact about the Turkish economy:
- Institutionalized economy fueled by USD 209 billion of FDI in the past 15 years.
- 13th largest economy (GDP at PPP) in the world and 7th largest economy compared with EU countries in 2018 (GDP, Eurostat).
- Robust economic growth with an average annual real GDP growth of 5.5 percent during 2002-2018.GDP reached USD 784 billion in 2018, up from USD 236 billion in 2002.
- Sound economic policies with prudent fiscal discipline.
- Strong financial structure that is resilient to global financial crises.